DEVELOPERS sold 8,136 private homes last year, up 9.4 per cent from the 7,440 units they moved in the previous year – and the best showing in three years. The pick-up is a reflection of improved sentiment and demand, say analysts.
The executive condo (EC) market posted even more spectacular sales growth. Preliminary government numbers show that developers found buyers for 4,018 EC units last year – up 57.6 per cent from the 2,550 units in 2015 and a four-year high. Realistic pricing by developers has been cited as a key factor for the improved primary-market sales of ECs, which are a public-private housing hybrid. Upcoming executive condo launches include Anchorvale Lane EC while existing ones include Parc Life EC, Signature at Yishun, Brownstone EC, Visionaire EC, Inz Residence EC, The Criterion EC and Northwave EC, The Terrace EC, The Vales EC, Hundred Palms Residences EC, Sol Acres EC and The Bellewoods EC.
The 2016 sales figures are preliminary, based on the December developer housing sales data released on Monday by the Urban Redevelopment Authority. The numbers will be finalised on Thursday next week when the URA releases its full Q4 2016 private housing statistics.
For this year, property consultants polled by The Business Times mostly forecast sales of 8,000 to 9,000 private homes and 2,300-3,500 EC units in the primary market.
In terms of developers’ pricing strategy for 2017, “affordability will rule the day”, as JLL national director Ong Teck Hui put it. “Developers will have to be mindful about pricing because it’s still a price-sensitive market on account of the property cooling measures and rising interest rate environment…”
CBRE Research head of Singapore and South-East Asia Desmond Sim, too, noted that unemployment is expected to rise in 2017 while GDP (Gross Domestic Product) will see muted growth.
“I think the pricing strategy for developers remains pretty much a quantum play. You need to hit the sweet spot of S$1 million or below to achieve sales volumes. Given that land prices have risen in the past 12 months, the clear denominator to play around with would be the unit size – in terms of maintaining the sweet spot,” Mr Sim reasoned.
Cushman & Wakefield Singapore research director Christine Lim pointed to a “silver lining” for developers who paid for higher land prices last year and are now stuck with less elbow room to price their projects attractively: “Construction costs have fallen due to the slow economy, which helps to alleviate cost pressures for developers.”
Agreeing, a developer who declined to be named said that construction costs have eased about 10 per cent in the past six months as contractors are hungry for work. “So where the construction cost used to be S$300 per square foot (psf) on gross floor area half a year ago, it is now S$270 psf.” He also noted that “projects in good locations and priced reasonably can still move”.
URA’s latest data – collated from licensed housing developers – shows that they sold 367 private homes in December 2016, less than half the 860 private homes in November 2016 but close to the 384 units in December 2015.
Despite the subdued December sales figure amid the year-end holiday period, the preliminary number of private homes sold by developers in Q4 2016 was 2,480 units – the strongest quarterly volume since Q2 2014.
Coupled with the 9.4 per cent increase for the whole of 2016, “this reflects a moderate strengthening in demand – driven by a perception of the market bottoming out, pent-up buying, more realistic prices and acceptance of the cooling measures as a norm”, said Mr Ong.